NDLI: Taking the uncertainty in climate-change vulnerability assessment seriously

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Taking the uncertainty in climate-change vulnerability assessment seriously

Content Provider	Semantic Scholar
Author	Patt, Anthony G. Klein, Richard J. T. Vega-Leinert, Anne Cristina De La
Copyright Year	2005
Abstract	Abstract Climate-change vulnerability assessment has become a frequently employed tool, with the purpose of informing policy-makers attempting to adapt to global change conditions. However, we suggest that there are three reasons to suspect that vulnerability assessment often promises more certainty, and more useful results, than it can deliver. First, the complexity of the system it purports to describe is greater than that described by other types of assessment. Second, it is difficult, if not impossible, to obtain data to test proposed interactions between different vulnerability drivers. Third, the time scale of analysis is too long to be able to make robust projections about future adaptive capacity. We analyze the results from a stakeholder workshop in a European vulnerability assessment, and find evidence to support these arguments. To cite this article: A. Patt et al., C. R. Geoscience 337 (2005).
Starting Page	411
Ending Page	424
Page Count	14
File Format	PDF HTM / HTML
DOI	10.1016/j.crte.2004.11.006
Volume Number	337
Alternate Webpage(s)	https://www.pik-potsdam.de/research/projects/projects-archive/favaia/pubs/patt_etal_2005.pdf
Alternate Webpage(s)	http://www.pik-potsdam.de/research/transdisciplinary-concepts-and-methods/projects/project-archive/favaia/pubs/patt_etal_2005.pdf
Alternate Webpage(s)	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crte.2004.11.006
Language	English
Access Restriction	Open
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article

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