Loading...
Please wait, while we are loading the content...
Similar Documents
Does the Form of Managements' Earnings Guidance Affect Analysts' Earnings Forecasts?
| Content Provider | Semantic Scholar |
|---|---|
| Author | Libby, Robert Tan, Hun-Tong Hunton, James E. |
| Copyright Year | 2005 |
| Abstract | This study examines how the form of management's earnings guidance (point, narrow range, wide range) affects analysts' earnings forecasts. Results from two experiments demonstrate that: (1) guidance form has no effect on analysts' forecasts made immediately after the guidance; and (2) after the actual earnings announcement, guidance form and the relationship of the earnings guidance to actual earnings (guid- ance error) interact in their effect on analysts' forecasts. After the actual earnings an- nouncement, guidance error leads to higher (lower) analysts' forecasts for firms with downwardly (upwardly) biased guidance; this effect of guidance error is magnified by a narrow range and reduced by a wide range, compared to a point estimate. These results suggest that treating the mean of the range endpoints as equivalent to a point estimate and failing to consider effects after the release of actual earnings may paint an incomplete picture of how management guidance affects analysts and investors. It also offers useful information to managers who issue earnings guidance, and presents a challenge to the psychology literature regarding the effects of information precision on judgment and decision making. |
| File Format | PDF HTM / HTML |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | http://wwwdocs.fce.unsw.edu.au/accounting/news/seminars2005_s1/paper03.pdf |
| Language | English |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
