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Fatal and serious road crashes involving young New Zealand drivers: a latent class clustering approach
| Content Provider | Semantic Scholar |
|---|---|
| Author | Weiss, Harold B. Kaplan, Sigal Prato, Carlo G. |
| Copyright Year | 2016 |
| Abstract | The over-representation of young drivers in road crashes remains an important concern worldwide. Cluster analysis has been applied to young driver sub-groups, but its application by analysing crash occurrence is just emerging. We present a classification analysis that advances the field through a holistic overview of crash patterns useful for designing youth-targeted road safety programmes. We compiled a database of 8644 New Zealand crashes from 2002 to 2011 involving at least one 15–24-year-old driver and a fatal or serious injury for at least one road user. We considered crash location, infrastructure characteristics, environmental conditions, demographic characteristics, driving behaviour, and pre-crash manoeuvres. The analysis yielded 15 and 8 latent classes of, respectively, single-vehicle and multi-vehicle crashes, and average posterior probabilities measured the odds of correct classification that revealed how the identified clusters contain mostly crashes of a particular class and all the crashes of that class. The results raised three major safety concerns for young drivers that should be addressed: (1) reckless driving and traffic law violations; (2) inattention, error, and hazard perception problems; and (3) interaction with road geometry and lighting conditions, especially on high-speed open roads and state highways. |
| Starting Page | 427 |
| Ending Page | 443 |
| Page Count | 17 |
| File Format | PDF HTM / HTML |
| DOI | 10.1080/17457300.2015.1056807 |
| PubMed reference number | 26145163 |
| Journal | Medline |
| Volume Number | 23 |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | https://orbit.dtu.dk/en/publications/fatal-and-serious-road-crashes-involving-young-new-zealand-drivers-a-latent-class-clustering-approach(7210ca84-97ac-4ad0-963c-4c7a421dc82d).pdf?nofollow=true&rendering=cbe |
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| Alternate Webpage(s) | https://www.safetylit.org/citations/ild_request_form.php?article_id=citjournalarticle_488896_14 |
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| Alternate Webpage(s) | https://doi.org/10.1080/17457300.2015.1056807 |
| Journal | International journal of injury control and safety promotion |
| Language | English |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |