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Meeting of the council on cybernetic stability: A scenario
| Content Provider | Semantic Scholar |
|---|---|
| Author | Turoff, Murray |
| Copyright Year | 1972 |
| Abstract | Editor's Comment: The leader by Murray Turoff, our Advisory Board Member, uses a fictional format to focus on an issue of mounting significance for long range planners. Scenarios have been used extensively in technological forecasting as a vehicle for summarizing the results of fairly involved studies. In a sense one may look on those types of scenarios as positive ones. Much less used, but no less useful, are what one may term as the negative scenarios. This is the process of extrapolating certain trends and situations to their extreme, but often logical, conclusions. While few people would rate the probability of such scenarios actually occurring as high, their real objective is that of highlighting current problems and thereby maintaining low probabilities of occurrence. |
| Starting Page | 121 |
| Ending Page | 127 |
| Page Count | 7 |
| File Format | PDF HTM / HTML |
| DOI | 10.1016/0040-1625(72)90009-1 |
| Volume Number | 4 |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | https://web.njit.edu/~turoff/pubs/delphibook/ch7f.pdf |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | http://is.njit.edu/pubs/delphibook/ch7f.pdf |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | https://doi.org/10.1016/0040-1625%2872%2990009-1 |
| Language | English |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Notice |