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Development of a risk-based decision making framework for hydrosystems engineering project design
| Content Provider | Semantic Scholar |
|---|---|
| Author | Su, Hsin-Ting |
| Copyright Year | 2013 |
| Abstract | Problems in hydrosystems engineering management and design face two main challenges: (1) the presence of uncertainties and (2) multiple criteria/objectives in nature. Uncertainties in project design, planning, and operation induce failures rendering undesirable consequences. Involvement of several non-commensurable and often conflicting criteria creates difficulty in reaching an optimal decision. This dissertation addresses these two challenges by proposing a decision making framework according to a new decision rule based on the concept of expected opportunity loss (EOL) that can utilize pertinent uncertainty information of outcomes of alternatives to assist decision making in a highly variable environment with multiple criteria. The EOL-based decision rule quantifies the potential risk when the chosen design/decision is incorrect. It possesses several important features that are relevant for water resources management and hydrosystem design problems: (1) circumvents the limitations of existing risk-based decision rules of using incomplete uncertain information; (2) accounts for the inter-correlations among the uncertain outcomes of different design alternatives through the mechanism of pair-wise comparison; and (3) allows feasibility test of a design alternative |
| File Format | PDF HTM / HTML |
| DOI | 10.14711/thesis-b1213366 |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | https://lbezone.ust.hk/obj/1/o/b1213366/b1213366.pdf |
| Language | English |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Thesis |
