NDLI: Wind resources assessment of Cuba in future climate scenarios;Evaluación de los recursos eólicos de Cuba en futuros escenarios climáticos

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Wind resources assessment of Cuba in future climate scenarios;Evaluación de los recursos eólicos de Cuba en futuros escenarios climáticos

Content Provider	Semantic Scholar
Author	Alonso, Yoandy Borrajero, Israel Bezanilla, Arnoldo Roque, Alfredo Centella, Abel Martínez, Yosvany Lemus
Copyright Year	2018
Abstract	espanolSe presenta un analisis preliminar del comportamiento de la velocidad del viento, utilizando el modelo climatico regional PRECIS, centrandose en los cambios en la distribucion de esta variable para tres periodos de 30 anos en el futuro 2011-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099. Se emplea el modelo climatico regional PRECIS en escenarios de cambio climatico de alta resolucion SRESA1B, utilizando condiciones de frontera de MCG ECHAM5 y 6 de los 16 miembros del conjunto de fisica perturbada HadCM3 MCG. Se comprueba como los cambios en la velocidad del viento seran mayores en la region oriental y costa norte del pais, siendo estadisticamente significativos para la segunda mitad del siglo XXI, con un aumento en la magnitud del viento entre 0.1 y 0.4 m s−1. Se concluye que estas areas de aumento del potencial eolico coinciden con la proyeccion actual del programa eolico cubano donde se contempla la construccion de 13 nuevos parques eolicos. EnglishA preliminary analysis of the behavior of the wind speed is presented using the regional climate model PRECIS, focusing on changes in the distribution of this variable for three periods of 30 years in the future 2011-2040, 20412070 and 2071-2099. The regional climate model PRECIS is used in high resolution scenarios of climate change SRESA1B, using boundary conditions from the MCG ECHAM5 and 6 of the 16 members of the set of perturbed physics HadCM3 MCG. It was found that changes in wind speed will be higher in the eastern and northern coast, becoming statistically significant for the second half of this century with an increase in wind magnitude between 0.1 and 0.4 m s−1. It is concluded that these areas of increased wind power match with the current projection of the Cuban wind program where the construction of 13 new wind farms are contemplated.
Starting Page	106
Ending Page	114
Page Count	9
File Format	PDF HTM / HTML
Volume Number	39
Alternate Webpage(s)	http://scielo.sld.cu/pdf/rie/v39n2/rie07218.pdf
Language	English
Access Restriction	Open
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article

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