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The Reality, and Strategic Consequences, of Seaborne Imports CHINA'S OIL SECURITY PIPE DREAM
| Content Provider | Semantic Scholar |
|---|---|
| Author | Erickson, Andrew S. Collins, Gabriel |
| Copyright Year | 2010 |
| Abstract | world's major economies will likely still depend to a large degree on traditional energy sources. Oil and liquefi ed natural gas (LNG), despite their economic and strategic differences, are the two with inherent naval signifi cance, as they must be transported by sea to the extent that domestic supplies or overland pipelines are insuffi cient.1 Indeed, maritime transport is properly conceived as a default, as it is almost always signifi cantly cheaper than any overland alternatives, many of which are simply impractical in any case. The recent global recession has further reduced tanker rates. Private-sector analysts have produced detailed forecasts of supply and demand for these two critical commodities. But no researchers have yet produced a detailed study of the strategic and naval implications of Chinese energy access.2 The market focus of energy intelligence fi rms and the lack of security and technical information informing journalists in the energy fi eld have so far precluded analysis of the issue. This gap must be fi lled. The National Intelligence Council's Global Trends 2025 report “projects a still-preeminent U.S. joined by fast developing powers, notably India and China, atop a multipolar international system” that “will be subject to an increased likelihood of confl ict over scarce resources”—one of them being energy.3 Russia will have great infl uence as an energy supplier. “No other countries are projected to rise to the level of China, India, or Russia, and none is likely to match their individual global clout.”4 More specifi cally, “Maritime security concerns are providing a rationale for naval buildups and modernization efforts, such as China's and India's development of blue-water naval capabilities.”5 Andrew S. Erickson and Gabriel B. Collins The Reality, and Strategic Consequences, of Seaborne Imports CHINA'S OIL SECURITY PIPE DREAM |
| File Format | PDF HTM / HTML |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | http://www.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a519354.pdf |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | http://www.andrewerickson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/China-Pipeline-Sealane_NWCR_2010-Spring.pdf |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | https://www.hsdl.org/?did=733307&view |
| Language | English |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
