NDLI: Perspektywy rozwoju polskiego handlu zagranicznego produktami rolno-spożywczymi

Content Provider	Semantic Scholar
Author	Poczta, Walenty Pawlak, Karolina
Copyright Year	2007
Abstract	Some possible scenarios of Polish agri-food trade development are presented in the paper. Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP), a computable general equilibrium model, was used to make some trade forecasts. The analysis showed that escalation of agricultural trade liberalization can result in a decrease of Polish exports as well as in imports growth and finally bring a deterioration in the positive agri-food trade balance. / Synopsis. W opracowaniu przedstawiono mozliwe scenariusze rozwoju wymiany handlowej w sektorze rolno-spozywczym do roku 2015. W badaniach wykorzystano matematyczny model rownowagi ogolnej Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP). Rezultaty analizy dowiodly, ze nasilenie tendencji liberalizacyjnych w światowym handlu rolnym moze spowodowac obnizenie wartości eksportu i wzrost wartości importu zywności i surowcow rolniczych z/do Polski, a w konsekwencji pogorszenie dodatniego wyniku bilansu handlowego.
Starting Page	286
Ending Page	293
Page Count	8
File Format	PDF HTM / HTML
Volume Number	02
Alternate Webpage(s)	http://www.wne.sggw.pl/czasopisma/pdf/PRS_2007_T2(17)_z2_s286.pdf
Language	English
Access Restriction	Open
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article

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