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ect the volatility of foreign exchange rates ? Some evidence from Australia
| Content Provider | Semantic Scholar |
|---|---|
| Author | Kim, Suk-Joong |
| Copyright Year | 2001 |
| Abstract | This paper investigates the role of Australian macro-economic announcement news on ® ve major Australian dollar (AUD) exchange rates. Speci® cally, the daily changes of the exchange rates are modelled to ascertain the existence and the nature of the news e ects in the conditional mean and variance of the changes. It is found that a higher than expected current account de® cit and unemployment rate announcements depreciated the AUD, and an unexpectedly higher GDP growth announcement appreciated it. Current account de® cit, CPI and unemployment news announcements signi® cantly raised the conditional volatility of the changes of the AUD on the days of their announcements, except for the BP/AUD for the CPI news, and there is some evidence of retail sales news reducing it. In general, the evidence is consistent with a view that a release of new information creates uncertainty in the markets due to a lack of consensus on the e ects of the particular news announcement and the necessary course of action. In addition, the EGARCH(1,1)-in-Mean modelling of the daily changes of the exchange rates is found to be very successful in addressing the observed statistical properties of the daily changes: leptokurtosis, time-varying heteroscedasticity and asymmetric response of the conditional volatility to unexpected changes. |
| File Format | PDF HTM / HTML |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | http://wwwdocs.fce.unsw.edu.au/banking/staff/profiles/skim/1999-AE-Do%20macro-economic%20news%20announcements%20affect%20the%20volatility%20of%20foreign%20exchange%20rates.pdf |
| Language | English |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Subject Keyword | Australian Dollar Ectomesenchymal Chondromyxoid Tumor Foreign exchange service (telecommunications) Sample Variance Volatility |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |