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Hipótese das expectativas na estrutura a termo da taxa de juros no Brasil : uma abordagem sob o contexto de metas para inflação
| Content Provider | Semantic Scholar |
|---|---|
| Author | Fortunato, Jaime Joaquim Pedro |
| Copyright Year | 2006 |
| Abstract | The aim of this study was to test the expectation theory of term structure of interest rate to the Brazilian economy under the model developed by Campbell and Shiller (19987, 1991). The Expectation Hypothesis (EH) of term structure of interest rate define that the long-term rate is determined by market's expectation for the shortterm rate plus a constant risk premium. I found that the forecasting decline with the increasing of maturity spectrum but, a causality test granger provide ambiguous results in some test. Under the Inflation Targeting structure the result show that the agents foresee, at least partially, the monetary policy's decisions. In general way the results support EH theory for Brazilian data. |
| File Format | PDF HTM / HTML |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | https://www.lume.ufrgs.br/bitstream/handle/10183/10107/000595679.pdf?isAllowed=y&sequence=1 |
| Language | English |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |