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Downscaling Super-high-resolution Climate Model Output for Extreme Rainfall Projection
| Content Provider | Semantic Scholar |
|---|---|
| Author | Nam, Do Hoai Udo, Keiko Mano, Akira |
| Copyright Year | 2013 |
| Abstract | Increasing surface temperature has resulted in significant changes in rainfall patterns. This paper presents the projection of the future extreme rainfall based on a statistical downscaling model for a global super-high-resolution climate model output. The downscaling model is formulated with the consideration of physical processes that govern heavy rainfall patterns. A case study is examined for nine observation sites in the Vu Gia-Thu Bon river basin in Central Vietnam. Results show that by the end of this century (2075-2099) heavy rainfall is projected to increase for the entire basin. Especially in elevated locations, it is very likely that extreme rainfall will increase about 30% relative to the present-day climate (1979-2003); the future rainfall with 10-yr return period will greatly exceed those with 25-yr under the present-day climate conditions. Meanwhile, a slight increase of extreme rainfall is projected for low-lying places along the coastline. |
| File Format | PDF HTM / HTML |
| DOI | 10.2208/jscejhe.69.I_121 |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/jscejhe/69/4/69_21/_pdf/-char/en |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | https://doi.org/10.2208/jscejhe.69.I_121 |
| Volume Number | 69 |
| Language | English |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
