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Un indicateur de croissance à court terme de la zone euro
| Content Provider | Semantic Scholar |
|---|---|
| Author | Charpin, Françoise |
| Copyright Year | 2002 |
| Abstract | The paper shows how to exploit monthly data rapidly available to forecast the growth of real GDP two quarters ahead using econometric equations. The procedure consists of two steps. First, we estimate an equation giving the quarterly GDP growth according to coincident and leading series. Second, we estimate monthly equations permitting to forecast the coincident and the leading series which lead is less than six months. It allows us to deduce the GDP growth for the current and next quarters. We verify that the instrument would have produced acceptable forecasts over the last three years. |
| Starting Page | 229 |
| Ending Page | 242 |
| Page Count | 14 |
| File Format | PDF HTM / HTML |
| DOI | 10.3917/reof.083.0229 |
| Volume Number | 83 |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | https://www.ofce.sciences-po.fr/pdf/revue/6-83.pdf |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | https://doi.org/10.3917/reof.083.0229 |
| Language | English |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
