NDLI: A Political Economy Forecast for the 2005 British General Election

Content Provider	Scilit
Author	Bélanger, Éric Lewis-Beck, Michael S. Nadeau, Richard
Copyright Year	2005
Description	Journal: The British Journal of Politics and International Relations Recently, we proposed an original statistical model for forecasting general elections in the United Kingdom, based on the observation of a few key indicators of the political and economic system. That vote function model was tested against the results of the 2001 general election. Here we evaluate the results of that test, and offer an appropriately revised model for the forecasting of the upcoming 2005 general election. According to our forecast, a Labour victory appears the most likely outcome.
Ending Page	198
Starting Page	191
ISSN	2573508X
e-ISSN	1467856X
DOI	10.1111/j.1467-856x.2005.00181.x
Journal	The British Journal of Politics and International Relations
Issue Number	2
Volume Number	7
Language	English
Publisher	Wiley-Blackwell
Publisher Date	2005-05-01
Access Restriction	Open
Subject Keyword	Journal: The British Journal of Politics and International Relations Political Science General Election
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Political Science and International Relations Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law

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A Political Economy Forecast for the 2005 British General Election