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Oil Price Dynamics and Business Cycles in Nigeria: A Bayesian Time Varying Analysis
| Content Provider | Scilit |
|---|---|
| Author | Lartey, Abraham |
| Copyright Year | 2018 |
| Description | Journal: SSRN Electronic Journal The study investigated the dynamic relationship between oil prices and Real GDP growth in Nigeria over time by making use of time varying Bayesian VAR with Stochastic volatility. I distinguished between supply and demand shocks by means of a sign restriction. First, the study found that, the response of the Nigerian economy has been varying overtime. Also, GDP growth responds positively to both supply and demand shocks. However, the magnitude of the response to demand shock is larger compared to that of supply shocks. This suggests that overtime an increase in oil prices due to shocks in demand matter most for the Nigerian economy. |
| Related Links | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/90038/1/MPRA_paper_90038.pdf https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm?abstractid=3272841 |
| ISSN | 10914358 |
| e-ISSN | 15565068 |
| DOI | 10.2139/ssrn.3272841 |
| Journal | SSRN Electronic Journal |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Elsevier BV |
| Publisher Date | 2018-10-25 |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Subject Keyword | Journal: SSRN Electronic Journal Development Studies Crude Oil Price Real Gdp Growth Time Varying Coefficients Stochastic Volatility |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health Psychiatry and Mental Health |