NDLI: Escalation in Dynamic Conflict: On Beliefs and Selection

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Escalation in Dynamic Conflict: On Beliefs and Selection

Content Provider	Scilit
Author	Konrad, Kai A. Morath, Florian
Copyright Year	2017
Description	Journal: SSRN Electronic Journal We study a dynamic multi-stage contest that resolves in each stage only with a given probability. Assuming that there is unobservable heterogeneity in intrinsic motivations we derive properties of the equilibrium efforts across the different stages. Whereas in the corresponding complete information benchmark equilibrium efforts are stable across the stages, uncertainty about the type distribution of possible opponents generates learning. We identify reasons for dynamic adjustments of efforts caused by belief formation and updating and by selection of certain types into continuing conflict. A corresponding experimental setup provides evidence for escalation of efforts in later stages, for type heterogeneity, for belief formation and belief updating, and for self-selection. Overall, our results suggest the importance of an appropriate benchmark model when testing predictions on behavior in conflict or related strategic interactions.
Related Links	http://www.tax.mpg.de/RePEc/mpi/wpaper/TAX-MPG-RPS-2017-05.pdf https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm?abstractid=3035287
ISSN	10914358
e-ISSN	15565068
DOI	10.2139/ssrn.3035287
Journal	SSRN Electronic Journal
Language	English
Publisher	Elsevier BV
Publisher Date	2017-09-11
Access Restriction	Open
Subject Keyword	Journal: SSRN Electronic Journal
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health Psychiatry and Mental Health

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