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Does inflation have an impact on stock returns and volatility? Evidence from Nigeria and Ghana
| Content Provider | Scilit |
|---|---|
| Author | Aliyu, Shehu Usman Rano |
| Copyright Year | 2011 |
| Description | This study seeks to apply the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model to assess the impact of inflation on stock market returns and volatility using monthly time series data from two West African countries, that is, Nigeria and Ghana. In addition, the impact of asymmetric shocks was investigated using the quadratic GARCH model developed by Sentana ( 1995 Sentana, E . 1995. Quadratic ARCH models. Review of Economic Studies, 62: 639–61. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar] ), in both countries. Results for Nigeria show weak support for the hypothesis which states that bad news exert more adverse effect on stock market volatility than good news of the same magnitude; while a strong opposite case holds for Ghana. Furthermore, inflation rate and its 3-month average were found to have significant effect on stock market volatility in the two countries. Measures employed towards restraining inflation in the two countries, therefore, would certainly reduce stock market volatility, improve stock market returns and boost investor confidence. |
| Related Links | https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/12027870.pdf |
| Ending Page | 435 |
| Page Count | 9 |
| Starting Page | 427 |
| ISSN | 09603107 |
| e-ISSN | 14664305 |
| DOI | 10.1080/09603107.2011.617691 |
| Journal | Applied Financial Economics |
| Issue Number | 6 |
| Volume Number | 22 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Informa UK Limited |
| Publisher Date | 2011-11-21 |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Subject Keyword | Journal: Applied Financial Economics Business and Management Stock Returns Volatility Inflation E31 E52 G15 |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Finance Economics and Econometrics |
