Loading...
Please wait, while we are loading the content...
A general equilibrium analysis of floor prices for China's national carbon emissions trading system
| Content Provider | Scilit |
|---|---|
| Author | Weng, Yuyan Zhang, Da Lu, Lanlan Zhang, Xiliang |
| Copyright Year | 2018 |
| Description | China announced the official start of its national emissions trading system (ETS) construction programme in December 2017, making ETS the primary policy to achieve China's domestic decarbonization targets and global climate change pledges. Unlike ETS designs in other regions, China's ETS features a flexible cap that is linked to both reduced carbon intensity and activity levels. Therefore, total $CO_{2}$ emissions are allowed to increase if economic growth is strong – an important design feature for developing countries that demand an increase in $CO_{2}$ emissions at least in the near term. Therefore, to guarantee that the carbon price signal emerging from the ETS is strong enough to support the achievement of China's climate change targets given uncertainties in economic growth, technology improvement and renewable energy development, China's ETS needs a carbon price floor. In this study, we simulate carbon price paths in different scenarios representing different uncertainty realizations using the China-in-Global Energy Model (C-GEM) and find that a price path of $4 before 2020, $8 between 2021 and 2025 and $12 between 2026 and 2030 (2011 constant price) is able to support the achievement of China's climate pledges with a 90% chance. Therefore, this price path could be adopted as a feasible carbon price floor for China's ETS. Key policy insights |
| Related Links | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/14693062.2018.1464895?needAccess=true |
| Ending Page | 70 |
| Page Count | 11 |
| Starting Page | 60 |
| ISSN | 14693062 |
| e-ISSN | 17527457 |
| DOI | 10.1080/14693062.2018.1464895 |
| Journal | Climate Policy |
| Issue Number | sup1 |
| Volume Number | 18 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Informa UK Limited |
| Publisher Date | 2018-04-26 |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Subject Keyword | Journal: Climate Policy Civil Engineering Cge Model China Emissions Trading System Floor Price |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Atmospheric Science Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law Global and Planetary Change |