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| Content Provider | PubMed Central |
|---|---|
| Author | Hoffmann, Holger Zhao, Gang Asseng, Senthold Bindi, Marco Christian, Biernath Constantin, Julie Elsa, Coucheney Rene, Dechow Doro, Luca Eckersten, Henrik Gaiser, Thomas Grosz, Balázs Heinlein, Florian Kassie, Belay T. Kersebaum, Kurt-christian Klein, Christian Kuhnert, Matthias Lewan, Elisabet Moriondo, Marco Claas, Nendel Eckart, Priesack Raynal, Helene Roggero, Pier P. Rötter, Reimund P. Siebert, Stefan Specka, Xenia Tao, Fulu Teixeira, Edmar Giacomo, Trombi Wallach, Daniel Lutz, Weihermüller Yeluripati, Jagadeesh Ewert, Frank |
| Editor | Lightfoot, David A. |
| Copyright Year | 2016 |
| Abstract | We show the error in water-limited yields simulated by crop models which is associated with spatially aggregated soil and climate input data. Crop simulations at large scales (regional, national, continental) frequently use input data of low resolution. Therefore, climate and soil data are often generated via averaging and sampling by area majority. This may bias simulated yields at large scales, varying largely across models. Thus, we evaluated the error associated with spatially aggregated soil and climate data for 14 crop models. Yields of winter wheat and silage maize were simulated under water-limited production conditions. We calculated this error from crop yields simulated at spatial resolutions from 1 to 100 km for the state of North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany. Most models showed yields biased by <15% when aggregating only soil data. The relative mean absolute error (rMAE) of most models using aggregated soil data was in the range or larger than the inter-annual or inter-model variability in yields. This error increased further when both climate and soil data were aggregated. Distinct error patterns indicate that the rMAE may be estimated from few soil variables. Illustrating the range of these aggregation effects across models, this study is a first step towards an ex-ante assessment of aggregation errors in large-scale simulations. |
| Related Links | http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0151782 |
| Starting Page | 151782 |
| File Format | |
| ISSN | 19326203 |
| e-ISSN | 19326203 |
| Journal | PLoS ONE |
| Issue Number | 4 |
| Volume Number | 11 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Public Library of Science |
| Publisher Date | 2016-04-01 |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Rights Holder | Public Library of Science |
| Subject Keyword | Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology(all) Agricultural and Biological Sciences(all) Medicine(all) Research in Higher Education |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Multidisciplinary |
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