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| Content Provider | PubMed Central |
|---|---|
| Author | Nelson, Gerald C. Valin, Hugo Sands, Ronald D. Petr, Havlík Helal, Ahammad Deryng, Delphine Elliott, Joshua Fujimori, Shinichiro Hasegawa, Tomoko Heyhoe, Edwina Kyle, Page Lampe, Martin Von Hermann, Lotze-campen Mason, D’croz Daniel Van, Meijl Hans Van, Der Mensbrugghe Dominique Müller, Christoph Popp, Alexander Robertson, Richard Robinson, Sherman Schmid, Erwin Schmitz, Christoph Tabeau, Andrzej Dirk, Willenbockel |
| Abstract | Plausible estimates of climate change impacts on agriculture require integrated use of climate, crop, and economic models. We investigate the contribution of economic models to uncertainty in this impact chain. In the nine economic models included, the direction of management intensity, area, consumption, and international trade responses to harmonized crop yield shocks from climate change are similar. However, the magnitudes differ significantly. The differences depend on model structure, in particular the specification of endogenous yield effects, land use change, and propensity to trade. These results highlight where future research on modeling climate change impacts on agriculture should focus. |
| Related Links | http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1222465110 |
| Ending Page | 3279 |
| Page Count | 6 |
| Starting Page | 3274 |
| File Format | |
| ISSN | 00278424 |
| e-ISSN | 10916490 |
| Journal | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America |
| Issue Number | 9 |
| Volume Number | 111 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | National Academy of Sciences |
| Publisher Date | 2014-03-04 |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Rights Holder | National Academy of Sciences |
| Subject Keyword | General Research in Higher Education |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Multidisciplinary |
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