NDLI: The Bioeconomy to 2015

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Executive Summary

Defining the Bioeconomy

What External Factors Will Drive the Bioeconomy to 2030?

The State of the Bioeconomy Today

The Bioeconomy to 2015

Institutional and Social Drivers of the Bioeconomy

The Business of the Emerging Bioeconomy

The Bioeconomy of 2030

Policy Options for the Bioeconomy. The Way Ahead.

Conclusions. On the Road to the Bioeconomy.

Annex A. Members of the Bioeconomy to 2030 Steering Group.

Annex B. External Experts Involved in the Bioeconomy to 2030 Project.

Glossary of Selected Scientific and Technical Terms

The Bioeconomy to 2015

Content Provider	OECD iLibrary
Organization	OECD
Abstract	What types of biotechnology applications are likely to reach the market by 2015? Regulatory requirements in agriculture and health provide data that can be used to estimate the types of genetically modified (GM) plant varieties and health therapies that will be available by then. There are far less data for other biotechnology applications, with estimates based on past trends in scientific discoveries, production, or employment. Based on past trends, GM field trial data, and company reports, it is estimated that by 2015 approximately half of global production of the major food, feed and industrial feedstock crops is likely to come from plant varieties developed using one or more types of biotechnology. These biotechnologies include not only GM but also intragenics, gene shuffling and marker assisted selection. Several novel agronomic and product quality traits will reach the market for a growing number of crops. Biotechnologies, other than GM, will be used to improve livestock for dairy and meat. GM will be increasingly used to develop animal varieties that can produce valuable pharmaceuticals or other compounds in milk. In health, biotechnological knowledge will play a role in the development of all types of therapies. It will no longer be meaningful to separate the pharmaceutical sector from the health biotechnology sector. Pharmacogenetics will develop rapidly, influencing the design of clinical trials and prescribing practices. The value of biochemicals (other than pharmaceuticals) could increase from 1.8% of all chemical production in 2005 to between 12% and 20% by 2015. Biofuel production could partly shift from starch-based bioethanol to higher energy density fuels manufactured from sugar cane or to bioethanol from lignocellulosic feedstock such as grasses and wood.
Page Count	47
Starting Page	99
Ending Page	136
Language	English
Publisher	OECD Publishing
Publisher Date	2009-04-15
Access Restriction	Open
Subject Keyword	Science and Technology Economics
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Chapter

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