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| Content Provider | OECD iLibrary |
|---|---|
| Organization | OECD |
| Abstract | Les résultats économiques de l’Allemagne restent marqués par la vigueur des exportations, grâce à de nombreuses années d’amélioration tendancielle de la compétitivité extérieure mais aussi pour la faiblesse persistante de la demande domestique. Dans une certaine mesure, ces deux tendances sont liées. La modération des salaires, si elle a renforcé la compétitivité, s’est soldée par une croissance médiocre des revenus des ménages, bridant ainsi la consommation; en outre, une inflation plus basse que dans les autres pays de la zone euro a fait monter le taux d’intérêt réel en Allemagne. Certains signes de redressement de la demande interne sont apparus, et les enquêtes sur la confiance des entreprises et les nouvelles commandes montrent que la reprise pourrait prochainement s’élargir. Mais les statistiques trimestrielles pour le PIB révèlent que ce processus ne s’est bien ancré qu’à la fin de 2005. Au total, l’OCDE prévoit pour 2006 une croissance du PIB réel légèrement supérieure au potentiel, de l’ordre de 1¾ %, après 1.1 % en 2005 (avec correction pour tenir compte des jours ouvrables). La poursuite de la réforme structurelle peut contribuer à un raffermissement de l’activité intérieure, complétant ainsi les impulsions externes favorables. |
| Page Count | 19 |
| Starting Page | 11 |
| Ending Page | 20 |
| Language | French |
| Publisher | OECD Publishing |
| Publisher Date | 2006-11-02 |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Subject Keyword | Economics |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Chapter |
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