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| Content Provider | OECD iLibrary |
|---|---|
| Organization | OECD |
| Abstract | Die Erholung der Weltwirtschaft setzt sich fort, allerdings mit verhaltenerem Tempo. Produktions- und Handelswachstum haben seit dem Frühjahr nachgegeben, da vorübergehende Wachstumskräfte, wie die von fiskalischen Konjunkturmaßnahmen ausgehenden Anschubeffekte, nachgelassen haben und noch nicht in vollem Umfang durch eine selbsttragende Wachstumsdynamik abgelöst wurden. Angesichts einer Geldpolitik, die weiterhin akkommodierend ausgerichtet ist, während sich die fiskalischen Konsolidierungsanstrengungen zugleich ausweiten, kann davon ausgegangen werden, dass die gegenwärtige leichte Abschwächung des Produktionswachstums nicht lange anhalten wird. Dennoch ist es, zumindest in den OECDVolkswirtschaften, unwahrscheinlich, dass das Wachstum auf kurze Sicht die in vergangenen Konjunkturaufschwüngen beobachtete Dynamik entfalten wird. Da die Expansion auch in den aufstrebenden Volkswirtschaften im Vergleich zu früheren Stadien der Erholung etwas langsamer ablaufen und damit nachhaltiger werden dürfte, wird sich das weltweite Produktionswachstum 2011 voraussichtlich auf rd. 4¼% und 2012 auf 4½% belaufen (Tabelle 1.1). Auf dieser Grundlage würde die Arbeitslosigkeit im OECD-Raum etwas zurückgehen und gegen Ende 2012 bei rd. 7¼% liegen, im Vergleich zu einem Tiefstand von knapp über 5½% vor der Krise. Die Inflationsrate dürfte sich allmählich auf niedrigem Niveau stabilisieren. |
| Page Count | 62 |
| Starting Page | 11 |
| Ending Page | 72 |
| Language | German |
| Publisher | OECD Publishing |
| Publisher Date | 2011-01-04 |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Subject Keyword | Economics |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Chapter |
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