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| Content Provider | OECD iLibrary |
|---|---|
| Organization | OECD |
| Abstract | O aumento da produção de carvão a partir dos primeiros mega-projetos mineiros de exploração de carvão, que entraram em operação este ano, juntamente com o forte desempenho registado no sector de serviços financeiros, transportes e comunicações e construção, ajudaram a acelerar o crescimento do PIB real para 7.2%, em 2011. O país alcançou uma impressionante média de crescimento de 7.2% ao longo da última década. A continuação de um elevado Investimento Directo Estrangeiro (IDE), sobretudo em indústrias extractivas, juntamente com o forte crescimento agrícola e o investimento em infra-estruturas vai impulsionar o crescimento para 7.5% e 7.9%, em 2012 e 2013. Apesar do forte crescimento, a firme e rígida política monetária do Banco Central, apoiada por uma política orçamental prudente, reduziu a inflação anual de 12.7% para 10.8%, em 2011. As perspectivas de uma redução ainda maior da inflação para 7.2%, em 2012, e a sua estabilização em 5.6%, em 2013, vai permitir a flexibilização da política monetária em 2012, visando a expansão do crédito. A implementação de medidas pró-pobres preparadas durante 2011, juntamente com um ambicioso programa de investimento em infra-estruturas, deve ampliar o défice orçamental de 3.3%, em 2011, para 6.8% e 7.4%, em 2012 e 2013. O principal desafio económico estrutural de Moçambique, a médio prazo, reside no alargamento da sua base fiscal. Espera-se uma diminuição continuada dos fluxos de ajuda de 51.4% do orçamento, em 2010, para 39.6%, em 2012. É fundamental diversificar a base das receitas, nomeadamente através de uma maior tributação do sector extractivo, a fim de sustentar e promover uma agenda de crescimento inclusivo. |
| Language | Portuguese |
| Publisher | OECD Publishing |
| Publisher Date | 2012-05-28 |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Subject Keyword | Development |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Chapter |
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