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Energy Investment Risk Assessment for Nations along China's Belt & Road Initiative: A Deep Learning Method
| Content Provider | MDPI |
|---|---|
| Author | Liang, Panning Yu, Mingyang Jiang, Lincheng |
| Copyright Year | 2021 |
| Description | In 2013, China proposed the “Belt & Road Initiative” which aims to invest the “Belt & Road” countries so as to help them develop their infrastructure and economy. China consumes the largest part of fossil energy of the whole world, so it is China’s priority to consider its energy supplying security. Therefore, it becomes urgent for China to invest the “Belt & Road” countries’ energy facilities. There comes a question: how to evaluate the overseas energy investment risk? To answer this question, this paper proposes a deep learning method to assess such risk of the 50 “Belt & Road” countries. Specifically, this paper first proposes an indicator system in which 6 main factors are separated into 36 sub-factors. This paper makes use of hierarchical convolution neural networks (CNN) to encode the historical statistics. The hierarchical structure could help CNN handle the long historical statistics more effectively and efficiently. Afterward, this paper leverages the self-attention layer to calculate the weights of each sub-factor. It could be observed that the resource potential is the most important indicator, while “years of China’s diplomatic relations” is the most important sub-indicator. Finally, we use a conditional random field (CRF) layer and softmax layer to compute the assessment scores of each country. Based on the experimental results, this paper suggests Russia, United Arab Emirates (UAE), Malaysia, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, Indonesia, and Kazakhstan to be China’s most reliable choices for energy investment. |
| Starting Page | 2406 |
| e-ISSN | 20763417 |
| DOI | 10.3390/app11052406 |
| Journal | Applied Sciences |
| Issue Number | 5 |
| Volume Number | 11 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | MDPI |
| Publisher Date | 2021-03-09 |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Subject Keyword | Applied Sciences Industrial Engineering Energy Investment Risk Assessment Seq2seq Framework Belt & Amp Road Initiative |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
