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| Content Provider | IET Digital Library |
|---|---|
| Author | Vithayasrichareon, Peerapat Gill, Iain F. Mac |
| Abstract | This study examines the potential role of large-scale photovoltaics (PV) generation in addressing the economic, energy security and environmental challenges facing the electricity industry. A Monte-Carlo-based generation portfolio modelling tool is employed to examine the value and impacts of different PV penetrations in future electricity generation portfolios under future uncertainty and multiple industry objectives of minimising expected future costs, cost uncertainty and CO2 emissions. The Australian National Electricity Market (NEM) facing highly uncertain future fossil-fuel prices, carbon price, plant capital costs and electricity demand was used as a case study. Hourly PV generations across diverse locations were simulated for different penetration levels. Modelling results show that, with relatively modest carbon prices, increased PV penetration leads to not only reductions in cost uncertainties and greenhouse gas emissions, but also the overall industry generation costs. This would greatly enhance the value and thus encourage investment in large-scale solar PV, even when the transmission cost estimates were included. The value of PV generation in future generation portfolios is also influenced by the mix of generation technologies. The findings from this study can assist in energy and climate policy decision making in the electricity industry, particularly with regard to large-scale PV generation and carbon pricing. |
| Starting Page | 79 |
| Ending Page | 87 |
| Page Count | 9 |
| ISSN | 17521416 |
| Volume Number | 10 |
| e-ISSN | 17521424 |
| Issue Number | Issue 1, Jan (2016) |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | https://digital-library.theiet.org/content/journals/iet-rpg/10/1 |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | https://digital-library.theiet.org/content/journals/10.1049/iet-rpg.2015.0051 |
| Journal | IET Renewable Power Generation |
| Publisher Date | 2016-01-01 |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Rights Holder | © The Institution of Engineering and Technology |
| Subject Keyword | Air Pollution Control Carbon Price Climate Policy Decision Making CO2 Emission Cost Reduction Cost Uncertainty Demand Side Management Economics And Legislation Electricity Demand Electricity Industry Energy And Environmental Policy Energy Policy Decision Making Energy ReSource Energy Security Environmental Challenges Environmental Economics Environmental Factors Expected Future Cost Future Electricity Generation Portfolio Industry Generation Cost Monte Carlo Generation Portfolio Modelling Monte Carlo Method Photovoltaic Power System Plant Capital Cost Power Generation Economics Power Market Power System Economics Power System Managemen Power System Operation Pricing Probability Theory PV Penetration Solar Photovoltaic Generation Solar Power Stations Statistics Stochastic Linearised SCUC Transmission Cost Estimation Uncertain Future Fossil Fuel Cost Uncertain Future Fossil Fuel Price |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment |
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