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| Content Provider | IET Digital Library |
|---|---|
| Author | Ji, Tianyao Hong, Dongyi Zheng, Jiehui Wu, Qinghua Yang, Xiaoyu |
| Abstract | This study proposes a novel prediction model for uni- and multi-variable forecast, where error feedback is added to the original forecast value predicted using the persistence model. The error feedback mechanism is constructed to find out the relationship between the errors and the original forecast values. Simulation studies are carried out using wind power data obtained from two databases, and the results demonstrate that the proposed model provides a more accurate and stable forecast compared to other methods. Based on this, the economic benefit of accurate wind power forecast has been analysed for power system dispatch, which aims to minimise the operation cost. The dispatch results of two scenarios have shown that accurate forecast result decreases the cost of reserve capacity, balancer set invoking capacity and the possibility of wind curtailment, which leads to more economic dispatch of power systems. |
| Starting Page | 5730 |
| Ending Page | 5738 |
| Page Count | 9 |
| ISSN | 17518687 |
| Volume Number | 12 |
| e-ISSN | 17518695 |
| Issue Number | Issue 21, Nov (2018) |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | https://digital-library.theiet.org/content/journals/iet-gtd/12/21 |
| Alternate Webpage(s) | https://digital-library.theiet.org/content/journals/10.1049/iet-gtd.2018.5635 |
| Journal | IET Generation, Transmission & Distribution |
| Publisher Date | 2018-09-06 |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Rights Holder | © The Institution of Engineering and Technology |
| Subject Keyword | Accurate Wind Power Forecast Economic Benefit Economic Dispatch Error Feedback Mechanism Load Forecasting Multivariable Forecast Original Forecast Value Persistence Model Power Generation Dispatch Power Generation Economics Power System Dispatch Power System Economics Power System Managemen Power System Operation Power System Planning And Layout Prediction Model Simulation Studies Wind Curtailment Wind Power Data Wind Power Plant |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Control and Systems Engineering Energy Engineering and Power Technology Electrical and Electronic Engineering |
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