NDLI: Assessment of Future Visions of the International Biomass Market

Content Provider	IEEE Xplore Digital Library
Author	Ojanen, V. Heinimo, J. Pakarinen, V. Kassi, T. Ranta, T.
Copyright Year	2006
Description	Author affiliation: Dept. of Ind. Eng. & Manage., Lappeenranta Univ. of Technol. (Ojanen, V.)
Abstract	The decisions made by politicians and companies, as well as the direction of research activities have a significant influence on the future development of the biofuel market. Therefore, it is essential for the decision makers to recognize the main driving forces, future opportunities and possible threats affecting the market, as well as the potential methods to support strategic long-term decisions and renewal of capabilities in the changing business environment. This paper presents clarified visions of possible development routes for international biomass markets. First, the results of a preliminary survey among chosen bioenergy experts in the government, academia and business organizations in Finland provide background knowledge, initial data and the main driving forces of the international bioenergy trade for the development of future scenarios. The scenario process is then utilized as a tool for assessing the requirements of the changing business environment, and identifying the capabilities needed in alternative future scenarios. The alternative scenarios are results of expert workshops which tackled the issue of international bioenergy trade. In the scenario workshops, Finnish and international experts' tacit knowledge and experiences were collected and refined by the means of computerized (group decision support systems) and manual group support methods. The main results of the whole research, i.e. the observed driving forces and the developed scenarios, representing the state of international biomass markets in 2020, provide several implications. For politicians, the recognition of alternative scenarios helps to make the future market environment as favorable as possible to achieve the targets set for the use of biofuels. For the management of companies, the scenarios help to recognize the most efficient business models and value networks in alternative future developing routes
Starting Page	945
Ending Page	949
File Size	78902
Page Count	5
File Format	PDF
ISBN	142440147X
DOI	10.1109/ICMIT.2006.262361
Language	English
Publisher	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE)
Publisher Date	2006-06-21
Publisher Place	Singapore
Access Restriction	Subscribed
Rights Holder	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE)
Subject Keyword	Decision support systems Biodegradable materials Technology management Engineering management Roads Production Industrial engineering Biomass Biofuels Business
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article

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1	Ministry of Education (GoI), Department of Higher Education	Sanctioning Authority	https://www.education.gov.in/ict-initiatives
2	Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	Host Institute of the Project: The host institute of the project is responsible for providing infrastructure support and hosting the project	https://www.iitkgp.ac.in
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