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| Content Provider | IEEE Xplore Digital Library |
|---|---|
| Author | Yongxiu He Dezhi Li Rui Fang Lifang Yang Furong Li |
| Copyright Year | 2008 |
| Description | Author affiliation: Univ. of Bath, Bath (Furong Li) || North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing (Yongxiu He; Dezhi Li; Rui Fang; Lifang Yang) |
| Abstract | With the high-speed economic development in China, the transition of structural function in the urban land system highly effects the development of the urban electric load. Forecasting the urban electric load accurately is the foundation of decision making scientifically for the development and planning of the urban power grid in China. This paper improves the decision method of Transition Matrices of Land Use and Cover Change though integrating Cellular Automation with Markov Model firstly. Then, the combined cellular automation model is used to simulate the urban land function evolvement and forecast the land functions in the future as the start point for electric load forecasting. Considering the changes of urban land functions, electric load density, the urban electric load forecasting model is proposed. Finally, the model validation is performed by comparing model predictions with the load data though case study. The results obtained show the accuracy of the adopted methodology for urban load forecasting. |
| Starting Page | 7 |
| Ending Page | 10 |
| File Size | 115172 |
| Page Count | 4 |
| File Format | |
| ISBN | 9780769534848 |
| DOI | 10.1109/WMSO.2008.76 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
| Publisher Date | 2008-12-27 |
| Publisher Place | China |
| Access Restriction | Subscribed |
| Rights Holder | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
| Subject Keyword | Automation Decision making Urban planning Power system economics Power generation economics Power system planning Predictive models Forecasting Markov Model Urban Electric load Cellular Automation Load forecasting Land Use and Cover Change Land use planning Economic forecasting |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
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