NDLI: PRBS/EWMA based model for predicting burst attacks (Brute Froce, DoS) in computer networks

Content Provider	IEEE Xplore Digital Library
Author	Silva, A. Pontes, E. Fen Zhou Guelf, A. Kofuji, S.
Copyright Year	2014
Description	Author affiliation: LSI-POLI, Univ. de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil (Pontes, E.; Kofuji, S.) \|\| CERI-LIA, Univ. of Avignon, Avignon, France (Fen Zhou) \|\| Univ. Paulista, Sao Paulo, Brazil (Silva, A.) \|\| IPP, Univ. do Oeste Paulista, Presidente Prudente, Brazil (Guelf, A.)
Abstract	Burst attacks (e.g. Brute Force, DoS, DDoS, etc) have become a great concern for the today's computer networks, causing millions of losses to the society. Even though the detection of burst attacks is widely investigated, there is a gap in the academic literature regarding the predicting models for anticipating such security issue. As the frequency of bursts depends on the behavior of the attackers, it is hard to determine the exact moment when a burst starts. In this paper we propose a new model for aggregating peaks of a burst - specifically for the brute force attack - at a single point called One Point Analysis (OPA). We applied the OPA technique in a prototype, so the beginning of each burst was predicted by the use of (a) Pseudo-Random Binary Sequences (PRBS), and (b) Exponential Weighted Moving Averages (EWMA). For evaluating the results, the OPA was compared to other techniques by two indicators, and it was possible coming to a conclusion regarding the OPA effectiveness.
Starting Page	194
Ending Page	200
File Size	300378
Page Count	7
File Format	PDF
ISBN	9781479954216
DOI	10.1109/ICDIM.2014.6991410
Language	English
Publisher	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE)
Publisher Date	2014-09-29
Publisher Place	Thailand
Access Restriction	Subscribed
Rights Holder	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE)
Subject Keyword	Computers prediction model Force Prototypes EWMA cyber-attack forecasting Predictive models brute force attack Market research Delays Forecasting burst attacks
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article

Sl.	Authority	Responsibilities	Communication Details
1	Ministry of Education (GoI), Department of Higher Education	Sanctioning Authority	https://www.education.gov.in/ict-initiatives
2	Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	Host Institute of the Project: The host institute of the project is responsible for providing infrastructure support and hosting the project	https://www.iitkgp.ac.in
3	National Digital Library of India Office, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	The administrative and infrastructural headquarters of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in
4	Project PI / Joint PI	Principal Investigator and Joint Principal Investigators of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in Prof. Saswat Chakrabarti will be added soon
5	Website/Portal (Helpdesk)	Queries regarding NDLI and its services	support@ndl.gov.in
6	Contents and Copyright Issues	Queries related to content curation and copyright issues	content@ndl.gov.in
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9	IDR Setup or Support	Queries related to establishment and support of Institutional Digital Repository (IDR) and IDR workshops	idr@ndl.gov.in

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