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| Content Provider | IEEE Xplore Digital Library |
|---|---|
| Author | Sotiropoulos, E. Hildmann, M. Yang He Andersson, G. |
| Copyright Year | 2013 |
| Description | Author affiliation: Power Syst. Lab., ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland (Sotiropoulos, E.; Hildmann, M.; Yang He; Andersson, G.) |
| Abstract | The majority of the consumed electricity in Europe is currently traded as forward contracts and therefore reliable price forecasting is crucial for market players. Several pricing methods based on fundamental models are available. They require a load model, which captures the characteristics of the electricity consumption. We propose an hourly load model for fundamental modeling of forward contract pricing and the formulation of the Hourly Price Forward Curve. This model captures deterministic patterns such as yearly and weekly seasonality, intra-day patterns including holidays, temperature effects and economic trends. These pattern and trends can be estimated with computational efficiency via Maximum Likelihood Estimator. |
| Sponsorship | IEEE Power Energy Soc. |
| Starting Page | 1 |
| Ending Page | 5 |
| File Size | 555501 |
| Page Count | 5 |
| File Format | |
| ISBN | 9781479913039 |
| ISSN | 19449925 |
| DOI | 10.1109/PESMG.2013.6672834 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
| Publisher Date | 2013-07-21 |
| Publisher Place | Canada |
| Access Restriction | Subscribed |
| Rights Holder | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
| Subject Keyword | Load modeling Biological system modeling Predictive models Economics Production Electricity Temperature |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
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