NDLI: Forecasting the effect of PTP policy on changes of travel patterns with ordered logit model

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Forecasting the effect of PTP policy on changes of travel patterns with ordered logit model

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Forecasting the effect of PTP policy on changes of travel patterns with ordered logit model

Content Provider	IEEE Xplore Digital Library
Author	Yang Jing Zhang Rui Wu Hai-yan Mao Bao-hua
Copyright Year	2010
Description	Author affiliation: Integrated Transport Research Center of China, Beijing Jiaotong University, China (Mao Bao-hua) \|\| University of Civil Engineering and Architecture, China (Yang Jing; Zhang Rui; Wu Hai-yan)
Abstract	Public Transport Priority (PTP) is adopted as basic transport policy in many metropolitan cities, especially like Beijing, with great number of population and rapid urban economic development. This study mainly discusses how PTP measures affect travelers' behavior, what type and levels of PTP measures increase the acceptance of public travel modes, and how PTP measures take a positive effect in Beijing city. Through the analysis by an ordered logit model, it is revealed that respondents with lower incomes are more likely to use public travel modes instead of paying comparatively high car-costs. Moreover, it is also found that respondents able to obtain transport subsidies are less likely to take bus, subway and so on. About the transport service attributes of the proposed logit model, it is clarified that travel time is the most important consideration for travelers and, in contrast, prices of tickets are usually ignored. Based on the study of the newly developed ordered logit model and the development plan of public transport service in near future published by Beijing Municipal Committee of Communication, it can be first concluded that if the average in-vehicle time of public travel models decreases from 42.6 minutes to 32 minutes, about 385.8 thousand trips by private car everyday will shift to public transport sector. At the same time, given about 3.6 minutes' decrease of average public travel time for waiting and transfer, around 164.2 thousand trips by private car will be eliminated.
File Size	742384
File Format	PDF
ISBN	9781424472352
e-ISBN	9781424472376
DOI	10.1109/ICCASM.2010.5623205
Language	English
Publisher	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE)
Publisher Date	2010-10-22
Publisher Place	China
Access Restriction	Subscribed
Rights Holder	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE)
Subject Keyword	Biological system modeling Design methodology Stated Preference Survey Transportation Computer applications Cities and towns Public Transport Priority (PTP) Fuels Modeling Uniform Design Ordered Logit Model
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article

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