NDLI: Forecasting computer sales and generation of end-of-life computers in the U.S.

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Forecasting computer sales and generation of end-of-life computers in the U.S.

Content Provider	IEEE Xplore Digital Library
Author	Yan Yang Williams, E.
Copyright Year	2008
Abstract	Our goal is to characterize future trends in the generation of obsolete computers in the U.S. Our definition of obsolete is based on a user purchasing a replacement computer, after which the old one is stored, resold, or sent for waste management. Starting from historical sales data on new computers and assuming a plausible first life span distribution of desktop and laptop computers, the historical penetration rate is expressed in terms of the number of computers owned per capita. We then work to extrapolate the current trend to the future by using a logistic model [L.D. Frank, 2004], an S-shaped curve based on a rate constant and a carrying capacity, the latter expressing the asymptotic limit of adoption of the technology.
Starting Page	1
Ending Page	1
File Size	64211
Page Count	1
File Format	PDF
ISBN	9781424422722
DOI	10.1109/ISEE.2008.4562859
Language	English
Publisher	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE)
Publisher Date	2008-05-19
Publisher Place	USA
Access Restriction	Subscribed
Rights Holder	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE)
Subject Keyword	Marketing and sales Upper bound Distributed computing Portable computers Character generation Waste management Economic forecasting Logistics Microcomputers Yield estimation
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article

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