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| Content Provider | IEEE Xplore Digital Library |
|---|---|
| Author | Rejc, M. Pantos, M. |
| Copyright Year | 1969 |
| Abstract | In a deregulated environment, system operators are required to procure certain ancillary services, which, among others, may include compensation for active-power losses. This compensation usually involves long-term energy purchases and additional short-term energy purchases to cover the daily fluctuations. The short-term energy purchases require an accurate and quick short-term forecasting method that has to be efficiently applicable in day-ahead markets. This paper presents a novel short-term active-power-loss forecast method using power-flow analysis for the forecasted day. Specifically, this includes short-term load and generation forecasts as well as network-topology forecasts, which are used for the power-flow calculations and the resulting active-power loss calculations. To minimize the forecast errors, a fuzzy-weight grouping of the different short-term load and generation forecast results is proposed. An additional step for input-data pre-processing is presented, where the fuzzy clustering considers the patterns for training the forecasting models. The proposed approach was verified by using real data for the ENTSO-E interconnection and tested for the Slovenian power system. The forecasting results demonstrate the improved accuracy of the proposed approach. |
| Sponsorship | IEEE Power Engineering Society |
| Starting Page | 1511 |
| Ending Page | 1521 |
| Page Count | 11 |
| File Size | 748418 |
| File Format | |
| ISSN | 08858950 |
| Volume Number | 26 |
| Issue Number | 3 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
| Publisher Date | 2011-08-01 |
| Publisher Place | U.S.A. |
| Access Restriction | One Nation One Subscription (ONOS) |
| Rights Holder | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
| Subject Keyword | Forecasting Indexes Artificial neural networks Load modeling Weather forecasting Load forecasting short-term loss forecasting Clustering methods fuzzy logic short-term generation forecasting short-term load forecasting |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Energy Engineering and Power Technology Electrical and Electronic Engineering |
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