NDLI: Monte Carlo simulation of residential electricity demand for forecasting maximum demand on distribution networks

Content Provider	IEEE Xplore Digital Library
Author	McQueen, D.H.O. Hyland, P.R. Watson, S.J.
Copyright Year	1969
Abstract	The prevalent engineering practice (PEP) for maximum demand estimation in low-voltage (LV) electricity networks is based on an After Diversity Maximum Demand (ADMD) modified by a diversity factor. This method predicts the maximum likely voltage drop accounting for consumer diversity. However, this approach does not take into account the stochastic nature of the demand and is inconsistent with international power quality standards. We present a Monte Carlo simulation model of consumer demand taking into account the statistical spread of demand in each half hour using data sampled from a gamma distribution. The parameters of the gamma distribution are based on data metered at a number of residential properties fed by one transformer. The simulated demand is corrected for temperature and total consumption. The simulated profiles at the residential properties are aggregated and the simulated maximum demand is compared with actual maximum demand at a given transformer and an entire distribution network showing good agreement in both cases.
Sponsorship	IEEE Power Engineering Society
Starting Page	1685
Ending Page	1689
Page Count	5
File Size	140202
File Format	PDF
ISSN	08858950
Volume Number	19
Issue Number	3
Language	English
Publisher	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE)
Publisher Date	2004-08-01
Publisher Place	U.S.A.
Access Restriction	One Nation One Subscription (ONOS)
Rights Holder	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE)
Subject Keyword	Stochastic processes Voltage Home appliances Temperature Power quality Power distribution Electrical equipment industry Electricity supply industry Impedance
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Energy Engineering and Power Technology Electrical and Electronic Engineering

Sl.	Authority	Responsibilities	Communication Details
1	Ministry of Education (GoI), Department of Higher Education	Sanctioning Authority	https://www.education.gov.in/ict-initiatives
2	Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	Host Institute of the Project: The host institute of the project is responsible for providing infrastructure support and hosting the project	https://www.iitkgp.ac.in
3	National Digital Library of India Office, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	The administrative and infrastructural headquarters of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in
4	Project PI / Joint PI	Principal Investigator and Joint Principal Investigators of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in Prof. Saswat Chakrabarti will be added soon
5	Website/Portal (Helpdesk)	Queries regarding NDLI and its services	support@ndl.gov.in
6	Contents and Copyright Issues	Queries related to content curation and copyright issues	content@ndl.gov.in
7	National Digital Library of India Club (NDLI Club)	Queries related to NDLI Club formation, support, user awareness program, seminar/symposium, collaboration, social media, promotion, and outreach	clubsupport@ndl.gov.in
8	Digital Preservation Centre (DPC)	Assistance with digitizing and archiving copyright-free printed books	dpc@ndl.gov.in
9	IDR Setup or Support	Queries related to establishment and support of Institutional Digital Repository (IDR) and IDR workshops	idr@ndl.gov.in

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