NDLI: Confidence bounds of petrophysical predictions from conventional neural networks

Content Provider	IEEE Xplore Digital Library
Author	Wong, P.M. Bruce, A.G. Gedeon, T.D.
Copyright Year	1980
Abstract	Neural networks are powerful tools for solving the complex regression problems which abound in geosciences. Estimation of prediction confidence from neural networks is an important area. Many procedures are available to date, but it is often tedious for practitioners to implement such procedures without significant modification of the existing learning algorithms. In many cases, the procedures are also computationally intensive. This paper presents a practical solution using conventional backpropagation networks with simple data pre-processing and post-processing algorithms. The methodology involves conversion of the target outputs into linguistic variables (classes) prior to learning. When the classification network converges, minimum and maximum predictions are derived from the output activations using a simple averaging algorithm. Two examples from petroleum reservoirs are used to demonstrate the proposed methodology. The results show that the confidence bounds of the petrophysical predictions are realistic in both cases. The proposed methodology is generally useful, and can be implemented in simple spreadsheets without altering any existing neural network code.
Sponsorship	IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Society IEEE URSI
Starting Page	1440
Ending Page	1444
Page Count	5
File Size	370384
File Format	PDF
ISSN	01962892
Volume Number	40
Issue Number	6
Language	English
Publisher	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE)
Publisher Date	2002-06-01
Publisher Place	U.S.A.
Access Restriction	One Nation One Subscription (ONOS)
Rights Holder	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE)
Subject Keyword	Neural networks Backpropagation algorithms Petroleum Reservoirs Artificial neural networks Geology Predictive models Australia Fuzzy logic Training data
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Earth and Planetary Sciences Electrical and Electronic Engineering

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