NDLI: Economic growth, corporate earnings and equity returns: Evidence from Central and Eastern European countries

Content Provider	EconStor
Author	Gajdka, Jerzy Pietraszewski, Piotr
Copyright Year	2016
Abstract	This paper discusses the links between economic growth, corporate earnings and stock returns. Cross-country correlation studies do not confirm the intuitive assumption that higher returns on equities are more likely in the faster-growing countries. The problem can be analysed more deeply by analysing stock returns with respect to the growth of earnings per share (EPS) and changes in valuation (P/E ratio). Within this framework, two types of factors explaining the lack of correlation between GDP growth and stock returns are distinguished. The empirical research on developed and emerging market countries reveals that in the long run stock price returns are driven by companies' earnings, and that the lack of correlation between GDP growth and equity returns is almost fully explained by the divergence between GDP growth and EPS growth. In this article the results of an investigation into this area, based on a sample of post-communist Central and Eastern European countries, are presented and discussed. It was found that in these countries changes in valuation (P/E ratio) appear to play an important role, cancelling the impact of EPS growth on stock returns.
Starting Page	93
Ending Page	111
Page Count	19
File Format	PDF
ISSN	20826737 15082008
Journal	Comparative Economic Research
Volume Number	19
Issue Number	3
DOI	10.1515/cer-2016-0022
Language	English
Publisher	De Gruyter
Publisher Date	2016-01-01
Publisher Place	Warsaw
Access Restriction	Open
Rights Holder	http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen
Rights License	https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0
Subject Keyword	economic growth stock returns earning per share P/E ratio Central and Eastern European countries
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article
Subject	Economics, Econometrics and Finance

Sl.	Authority	Responsibilities	Communication Details
1	Ministry of Education (GoI), Department of Higher Education	Sanctioning Authority	https://www.education.gov.in/ict-initiatives
2	Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	Host Institute of the Project: The host institute of the project is responsible for providing infrastructure support and hosting the project	https://www.iitkgp.ac.in
3	National Digital Library of India Office, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	The administrative and infrastructural headquarters of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in
4	Project PI / Joint PI	Principal Investigator and Joint Principal Investigators of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in Prof. Saswat Chakrabarti will be added soon
5	Website/Portal (Helpdesk)	Queries regarding NDLI and its services	support@ndl.gov.in
6	Contents and Copyright Issues	Queries related to content curation and copyright issues	content@ndl.gov.in
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9	IDR Setup or Support	Queries related to establishment and support of Institutional Digital Repository (IDR) and IDR workshops	idr@ndl.gov.in

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