NDLI: Forecasting Quarterly Inflow to Reservoirs Combining a Copula-Based Bayesian Network Method with Drought Forecasting

Please wait, while we are loading the content...

Year: 2022, Volume: 14

Year: 2021, Volume: 14

Year: 2021, Volume: 13

Year: 2020, Volume: 13

Year: 2020, Volume: 12

Year: 2019, Volume: 12

Year: 2019, Volume: 11

Year: 2018, Volume: 11

Year: 2018, Volume: 10

Prediction Method for the Complete Characteristic Curves of a Francis Pump-Turbine

Well Salinization Risk and Effects of Baltic Sea Level Rise on the Groundwater-Dependent Island of Öland, Sweden

A Systematic Review of Quantitative Resilience Measures for Water Infrastructure Systems

On the Role of Minor Branches, Energy Dissipation, and Small Defects in the Transient Response of Transmission Mains

A Case Study of Preliminary Cost-Benefit Analysis of Building Levees to Mitigate the Joint Effects of Sea Level Rise and Storm Surge

Long-Term Hydropower Generation of Cascade Reservoirs under Future Climate Changes in Jinsha River in Southwest China

The Effects of Antibiotics on Microbial Community Composition in an Estuary Reservoir during Spring and Summer Seasons

Calibration of Spatially Distributed Hydrological Processes and Model Parameters in SWAT Using Remote Sensing Data and an Auto-Calibration Procedure: A Case Study in a Vietnamese River Basin

Phosphate Leaching from Green Roof Substrates—Can Green Roofs Pollute Urban Water Bodies?

A Generalized Semi-Analytical Solution for the Dispersive Henry Problem: Effect of Stratification and Anisotropy on Seawater Intrusion

Low Frequency Waves Detected in a Large Wave Flume under Irregular Waves with Different Grouping Factor and Combination of Regular Waves

Impacts of Environmental Variables on a Phytoplankton Community: A Case Study of the Tributaries of a Subtropical River, Southern China

Application of a Low Cost Ceramic Filter for Recycling Sand Filter Backwash Water

Adaptation Tipping Points of a Wetland under a Drying Climate

3-D Numerical Investigation on Oxygen Transfer in a Horizontal Venturi Flow with Two Holes

Quantifying Climatic Impact on Reference Evapotranspiration Trends in the Huai River Basin of Eastern China

Agricultural Water Use Sustainability Assessment in the Tarim River Basin under Climatic Risks

Phosphorus Solubilizing and Releasing Bacteria Screening from the Rhizosphere in a Natural Wetland

Discharge Coefficient of Rectangular Short-Crested Weir with Varying Slope Coefficients

Urban Estuarine Beaches and Urban Water Cycle Seepage: The Influence of Temporal Scales

The Significance of the Spatial Variability of Rainfall on the Numerical Simulation of Urban Floods

Validation of Satellite Estimates (Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission, TRMM) for Rainfall Variability over the Pacific Slope and Coast of Ecuador

French Reed Bed as a Solution to Minimize the Operational and Maintenance Costs of Wastewater Treatment from a Small Settlement: An Italian Example

Trophic State and Oxygen Conditions of Waters Aerated with Pulverising Aerator: The Results from Seven Lakes in Poland

Economic Feasibility of Underwater Adduction of Rivers for Metropolises in Semiarid Coastal Environments: Case Studies

Cross-Scale Baroclinic Simulation of the Effect of Channel Dredging in an Estuarine Setting

Evaluation of the Digestibility of Attached and Suspended Growth Sludge in an Aerobic Digester for a Small Community

Continuously Tracking the Annual Changes of the Hengsha and Changxing Islands at the Yangtze River Estuary from 1987 to 2016 Using Landsat Imagery

Empirical Characterization of Particle Size Distribution Spatial Dynamics for Helminth Eggs Detection in Waste Stabilization Ponds (WSP)

The Total Risk Analysis of Large Dams under Flood Hazards

Filtering Capability of Porous Asphalt Pavements

A Comparison of SWAT and ANN Models for Daily Runoff Simulation in Different Climatic Zones of Peninsular Spain

Experimental Study on the Palatability Impacts of Potable Water as a Hydronic Medium

Preliminary Numerical Analysis of the Efficiency of a Central Lake Reservoir in Enhancing the Flood and Drought Resistance of Dongting Lake

Stochastic Linear Programming for Reservoir Operation with Constraints on Reliability and Vulnerability

Comparison of Bootstrap Confidence Intervals Using Monte Carlo Simulations

Addressing Desalination's Carbon Footprint: The Israeli Experience

The Curve Number Concept as a Driver for Delineating Hydrological Response Units

Validation of the Three-Step Strategic Approach for Improving Urban Water Management and Water Resource Quality Improvement

Flood Mitigation by Permeable Pavements in Chinese Sponge City Construction

Groundwater Overexploitation and Seawater Intrusion in Coastal Areas of Arid and Semi-Arid Regions

Evaluation of Water Security in Kathmandu Valley before and after Water Transfer from another Basin

Assessment of Irrigated Agriculture Vulnerability under Climate Change in Southern Italy

Identification of Groundwater Pollution Sources by a SCE-UA Algorithm-Based Simulation/Optimization Model

Environmental Variability and Macrophyte Assemblages in Coastal Lagoon Types of Western Greece (Mediterranean Sea)

Skin Effect of Fresh Water Measured Using Distributed Temperature Sensing

A Monte-Carlo-Based Method for the Optimal Placement and Operation Scheduling of Sewer Mining Units in Urban Wastewater Networks

Evaluating Temporal and Spatial Variation in Nitrogen Sources along the Lower Reach of Fenhe River (Shanxi Province, China) Using Stable Isotope and Hydrochemical Tracers

Hydrological Responses to Various Land Use, Soil and Weather Inputs in Northern Lake Erie Basin in Canada

Assessment of Sediment Impact on the Risk of River Diversion during Dam Construction: A Simulation-Based Project Study on the Jing River, China

Comparison of Precipitation and Streamflow Correcting for Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts

Modeling Spatial Soil Water Dynamics in a Tropical Floodplain, East Africa

Challenges to Sustainable Safe Drinking Water: A Case Study of Water Quality and Use across Seasons in Rural Communities in Limpopo Province, South Africa

Gene Expression Programming Coupled with Unsupervised Learning: A Two-Stage Learning Process in Multi-Scale, Short-Term Water Demand Forecasts

A Risk-Based Model for Real-Time Flood Control Operation of a Cascade Reservoir System under Emergency Conditions

Treatment of Dairy Wastewater by Oxygen Injection: Occurrence and Removal Efficiency of a Benzotriazole Based Anticorrosive

Analysis of the Effects of Water Management Strategies and Climate Change on the Environmental and Agricultural Sustainability of Urmia Lake Basin, Iran

Forecasting Quarterly Inflow to Reservoirs Combining a Copula-Based Bayesian Network Method with Drought Forecasting

A Closer Look on Spatiotemporal Variations of Dissolved Oxygen in Waste Stabilization Ponds Using Mixed Models

Effect of Saturated Zone on Nitrogen Removal Processes in Stormwater Bioretention Systems

Experiential Learning through Role-Playing: Enhancing Stakeholder Collaboration in Water Safety Plans

Improving the Multi-Objective Performance of Rainwater Harvesting Systems Using Real-Time Control Technology

Multi-Stakeholder Development of a Serious Game to Explore the Water-Energy-Food-Land-Climate Nexus: The SIM4NEXUS Approach

Experimental and Numerical Study of Hydrodynamic Characteristics of Gullies for Buildings

Decline of N and P Uptake in the Inner Protection Zone of a Terminal Reservoir during Inter-Basin Water Transfers

Analysis of Environmental Taxes to Finance Wastewater Treatment in Spain: An Opportunity for Regeneration?

A Comparative Analysis of Exceptional Flood Events in the Context of Heavy Rains in the Summer of 2010: Siret Basin (NE Romania) Case Study

Using a Hydrological Model to Simulate the Performance and Estimate the Runoff Coefficient of Green Roofs in Semiarid Climates

Redrawing Soil Salinity Innovation-Focused Stakeholder Interaction for Sustainable Land Management in Khorezm Province, Uzbekistan

Responses of Water Level in China's Largest Freshwater Lake to the Meteorological Drought Index (SPEI) in the Past Five Decades

Multivariate Hybrid Modelling of Future Wave-Storms at the Northwestern Black Sea

Impact of a Programme for Water Affordability on Residential Consumption: Implementation of the “Programa Mínimo Vital de Agua Potable” in Bogotá, Colombia

Impacts of Climate Change and Land Subsidence on Inundation Risk

Application of EMI and FDR Sensors to Assess the Fraction of Transpirable Soil Water over an Olive Grove

Simulation of Groundwater Flow and Migration of the Radioactive Cobalt-60 from LAMA Nuclear Facility-Iraq

Effective Removal of Lead Ions from Aqueous Solution Using Nano Illite/Smectite Clay: Isotherm, Kinetic, and Thermodynamic Modeling of Adsorption

Resilient Governance of Water Regimes in Variable Climates: Lessons from California's Hydro-Ecological Zones

Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources of the Bheri River Basin, Nepal

Improving Stochastic Modelling of Daily Rainfall Using the ENSO Index: Model Development and Application in Chile

Decision Support System for the Design and Planning of Low-Impact Development Practices: The Case of Seoul

A First Estimation of County-Based Green Water Availability and Its Implications for Agriculture and Bioenergy Production in the United States

Global Sensitivity Analysis of a Water Quality Model in the Three Gorges Reservoir

Floating Photocatalysts for Passive Solar Degradation of Naphthenic Acids in Oil Sands Process-Affected Water

The Brine Shrimp Artemia Survives in Diluted Water of Lake Bunyampaka, an Inland Saline Lake in Uganda

Integrated Assessment of Novel Urban Water Infrastructures in Frankfurt am Main and Hamburg, Germany

Examining Storage Capacity Loss and Sedimentation Rate of Large Reservoirs in the Central U.S. Great Plains

Distribution Properties of a Measurement Series of River Water Temperature at Different Time Resolution Levels (Based on the Example of the Lowland River Noteć, Poland)

Multi-Domain 2.5D Method for Multiple Water Level Hydrodynamics

Land Use Change over the Amazon Forest and Its Impact on the Local Climate

Sequencing Infrastructure Investments under Deep Uncertainty Using Real Options Analysis

A Paradigm Shift in Water Quality Governance in a Transitional Context: A Critical Study about the Empowerment of Local Governance in Georgia

Comparing Mixed-Media and Conventional Slow-Sand Filters for Arsenic Removal from Groundwater

Mathematical Modeling of Non-Fickian Diffusional Mass Exchange of Radioactive Contaminants in Geological Disposal Formations

The Cost of Clean Water in the Delaware River Basin (USA)

Short-Term Effects of Drying-Rewetting and Long-Term Effects of Nutrient Loading on Periphyton N:P Stoichiometry

Using DPSIR and Balances to Support Water Governance

Land Cover Change Detection in Urban Lake Areas Using Multi-Temporary Very High Spatial Resolution Aerial Images

Simulating Water Allocation and Cropping Decisions in Yemen's Abyan Delta Spate Irrigation System

Sorption of Arsenic from Desalination Concentrate onto Drinking Water Treatment Solids: Operating Conditions and Kinetics

Cascade Cropping System with Horticultural and Ornamental Plants under Greenhouse Conditions

Evaluating the Water Quality Benefits of a Bioswale in Brunswick County, North Carolina (NC), USA

High-Strength Domestic Wastewater Treatment and Reuse with Onsite Passive Methods

Knowledge to Predict Pathogens: Legionella pneumophila Lifecycle Critical Review Part I Uptake into Host Cells

A Water–Energy–Food Nexus Perspective on the Challenge of Eutrophication

Tracers Reveal Recharge Elevations, Groundwater Flow Paths and Travel Times on Mount Shasta, California

Near-Bed Monitoring of Suspended Sediment during a Major Flood Event Highlights Deficiencies in Existing Event-Loading Estimates

Submerged Fixed Floating Structure under the Action of Surface Current

Spatial and Temporal Analysis of Rainfall Concentration Using the Gini Index and PCI

Quantification of Groundwater Discharge in a Subalpine Stream Using Radon-222

Roof Rainwater Harvesting in Central Mexico: Uses, Benefits, and Factors of Adoption

Hydrologic Regime Changes in a High-Latitude Glacierized Watershed under Future Climate Conditions

Identification of Phytoplankton Blooms under the Index of Inherent Optical Properties (IOP Index) in Optically Complex Waters

Occurrence, Seasonal Variation and Risk Assessment of Antibiotics in Qingcaosha Reservoir

Occurrence, Distribution, and Risk Assessment of Antibiotics in a Subtropical River-Reservoir System

Impact of Climate Change on Streamflow Hydrology in Headwater Catchments of the Upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia

Potential of Sentinel-1 Images for Estimating the Soil Roughness over Bare Agricultural Soils

A Wall Boundary Condition for the Simulation of a Turbulent Non-Newtonian Domestic Slurry in Pipes

Consumption of Free Chlorine in an Aqueduct Scheme with Low Protection: Case Study of the New Aqueduct Simbrivio-Castelli (NASC), Italy

Streambank Alluvial Unit Contributions to Suspended Sediment and Total Phosphorus Loads, Walnut Creek, Iowa, USA

Evolving Governance and Contested Water Reforms in Australia's Murray Darling Basin

Numerical and Physical Investigation of the Performance of Turbulence Modeling Schemes around a Scour Hole Downstream of a Fixed Bed Protection

A Heuristic Method for Measurement Site Selection in Sewer Systems

Identifying Critical Elements in Sewer Networks Using Graph-Theory

Cross-Analysis of Land and Runoff Variations in Response to Urbanization on Basin, Watershed, and City Scales with/without Green Infrastructures

Multiple Climate Change Scenarios and Runoff Response in Biliu River

Assessment of Water Quality in Roof-Harvested Rainwater Barrels in Greater Philadelphia

Long-Term Stability of Low-Pressure Reverse Osmosis (RO) Membrane Operation—A Pilot Scale Study

Sustainable Ice-Jam Flood Management for Socio-Economic and Socio-Ecological Systems

Research on Validity Examination of Simulated Results of Eggplant Water Requirements with Drip Irrigation under Mulch in Sunlight Greenhouse

Carbamazepine as a Possible Anthropogenic Marker in Water: Occurrences, Toxicological Effects, Regulations and Removal by Wastewater Treatment Technologies

Seasonal Variability and Evolution of Glaciochemistry at An Alpine Temperate Glacier on the Southeastern Tibetan Plateau

Determining Surface Infiltration Rate of Permeable Pavements with Digital Imaging

Sustainably Managing Reservoir Storage: Ancient Roots of a Modern Challenge

Year: 2017, Volume: 10

Year: 2017, Volume: 9

Year: 2016, Volume: 9

Year: 2016, Volume: 8

Year: 2015, Volume: 8

Year: 2015, Volume: 7

Year: 2014, Volume: 7

Year: 2014, Volume: 6

Year: 2013, Volume: 6

Year: 2013, Volume: 5

Year: 2012, Volume: 4

Forecasting Quarterly Inflow to Reservoirs Combining a Copula-Based Bayesian Network Method with Drought Forecasting

Content Provider	Directory of Open Access Journals (DOAJ)
Author	Kwanghoon Kim Sangho Lee Youngkyu Jin
Abstract	Especially for periods of drought, the higher the accuracy of reservoir inflow forecasting is, the more reliable the water supply from a dam is. This article focuses on the probabilistic forecasting of quarterly inflow to reservoirs, which determines estimates from the probabilistic quarterly inflow according to drought forecast results. The probabilistic quarterly inflow was forecasted by a copula-based Bayesian network employing a Gaussian copula function. Drought forecasting was performed by calculation of the standardized inflow index value. The calendar year is divided into four quarters, and the total inflow volume of water to a reservoir for three months is referred to as the quarterly inflow. Quarterly inflow forecasting curves, conforming to drought stages, produce estimates of probabilistic quarterly inflow according to the drought forecast results. The forecasted estimates of quarterly inflow were calculated by using the inflow records of Soyanggang and Andong dams in the Republic of Korea. After the probability distribution of the quarterly inflow was determined, a lognormal distribution was found to be the best fit to the quarterly inflow volumes in the case of the Andong dam, except for those of the third quarter. Under the threshold probability of drought occurrences ranging from 50% to 55%, the forecasted quarterly inflows reasonably matched the corresponding drought records. Provided the drought forecasting is accurate, combining drought forecasting with quarterly inflow forecasting can produce reasonable estimates of drought inflow based on the probabilistic forecasting of quarterly inflow to a reservoir.
e-ISSN	20734441
DOI	10.3390/w10020233
Journal	Water
Issue Number	2
Volume Number	10
Language	English
Publisher	MDPI AG
Publisher Date	2018-02-01
Publisher Place	Switzerland
Access Restriction	Open
Subject Keyword	Hydraulic Engineering Water Supply for Domestic and Industrial Purposes Drought Copula Bayesian Network Inflow Reservoir
Content Type	Text
Resource Type	Article

Central Library (ISO-9001:2015 Certified)
Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur
Kharagpur, West Bengal, India | PIN - 721302

See location in the Map
03222 282435
Mail: support@ndl.gov.in

Sl.	Authority	Responsibilities	Communication Details
1	Ministry of Education (GoI), Department of Higher Education	Sanctioning Authority	https://www.education.gov.in/ict-initiatives
2	Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	Host Institute of the Project: The host institute of the project is responsible for providing infrastructure support and hosting the project	https://www.iitkgp.ac.in
3	National Digital Library of India Office, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur	The administrative and infrastructural headquarters of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in
4	Project PI / Joint PI	Principal Investigator and Joint Principal Investigators of the project	Dr. B. Sutradhar bsutra@ndl.gov.in Prof. Saswat Chakrabarti will be added soon
5	Website/Portal (Helpdesk)	Queries regarding NDLI and its services	support@ndl.gov.in
6	Contents and Copyright Issues	Queries related to content curation and copyright issues	content@ndl.gov.in
7	National Digital Library of India Club (NDLI Club)	Queries related to NDLI Club formation, support, user awareness program, seminar/symposium, collaboration, social media, promotion, and outreach	clubsupport@ndl.gov.in
8	Digital Preservation Centre (DPC)	Assistance with digitizing and archiving copyright-free printed books	dpc@ndl.gov.in
9	IDR Setup or Support	Queries related to establishment and support of Institutional Digital Repository (IDR) and IDR workshops	idr@ndl.gov.in