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Climate change, agriculture, and potential crop yields in Central Asia
| Content Provider | Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR) |
|---|---|
| Author | Thomas, Timothy S. Akramov, Kamiljon T. Robertson, Richard D. Nazareth, Vijay Ilyasov, Jarilkasin |
| Organization | IFPRI - Environment and Production Technology Division |
| Organization | IFPRI - Development Strategy and Governance Division |
| Spatial Coverage | Uzbekistan [UZ] |
| Description | Agriculture in Central Asia is vulnerable to climate change due to rising aridity, declining availability of water resources for irrigation, and low adaptive capacity. We use climate data from CMIP5 with RCP8.5 for greenhouse gas emissions and the DSSAT crop model to investigate how yields of key crops in Central Asia will be affected by climate change. We distinguish changes in yields between spring and winter plantings, between irrigated and rainfed crops, and between crops grown with high and low amounts of fertilizer. The results suggest that countries (and areas within countries) that either have moderate summers or grow a number of crops in a relatively cold winter will benefit from climate change, while countries that grow many of the crops in the summer will experience losses. |
| Sponsorship | Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation |
| Related Links | https://cgspace.cgiar.org/items/1a59b25b-1a53-4cd7-9517-388c2252442d |
| File Format | |
| DOI | 10.2499/p15738coll2.134920 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | International Food Policy Research Institute |
| Publisher Place | Washington, DC |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Subject Keyword | Policies, Institutions, and Markets Greenhouse Gas Emissions Crops Modelling Capacity Development Agriculture Yields Land Reform Crop Modelling Climate Change |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Article |
| Subject | Agronomy and Crop Science Food Science Plant Science |
