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Forecasting zero : U.S. nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament
| Content Provider | Library of Congress - Books/Printed Material |
|---|---|
| Author | Pearl, Jonathan |
| Organization | Pearl, Jonathan (Writer on nuclear disarmament) |
| Organization | Army War College (U.S.). Strategic Studies Institute. |
| Spatial Coverage | United States |
| Temporal Coverage | 2011 |
| Description | Table of Contents: American abolitionism : new trick or old pony? (1945-91). Limited dissent for a wartime project -- Shaping the post-war world -- Three important shifts move the United States away from disarmament -- From Kennedy to Carter : the rise of arms control -- A Reagan-era rebirth for disarmament -- Shaping a new world order, or shaped by it? : from Reykjavik to rogue states. New risks and uncertain priorities in the post-Cold War world (1991-2001) -- Disarmament continues its retreat (2001-09) -- A new center or a return to normalcy? : the four horsemen ride to town -- Forecasting the U.S. nuclear future : yes we can (eventually?). The Obama administration : pledges and actions -- Continuity, not revolution -- Guarding your optimism : conceptual roadblocks to disarmament -- Guarding your optimism : structural roadblocks to disarmament -- Conclusion. |
| Abstract | A vigorous debate is occurring among American elites with respect to whether and when the United States should relinquish its nuclear weapons. Bolstering hopes for tangible results is that a U.S. President is again publicly and forcefully supporting disarmament. While this debate, which addresses both technical and political factors related to abolition, may be the most serious one of its kind since the dawn of the nuclear age, the future of U.S. nuclear weapons policy remains uncertain. The general approach advanced today in U.S. policy circles largely hews, after all, to the logic of the past 65 years: arms control and nonproliferation now, disarmament at an undetermined time in the future. Moreover, several conceptual and strategic barriers continue to block serious progress toward U.S. disarmament. By situating the current pro-disarmament rhetoric in this larger historical and strategic context, this monograph argues that there is reason to doubt whether the current push for disarmament will produce meaningful and lasting results. |
| Page Count | 57 |
| ISBN | 158487516X |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, |
| Publisher Place | Carlisle, PA |
| Part of Series | Catalog |
| Requires | HTML5 supported browser |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Subject Keyword | Forecasting Government Policy History International Cooperation Nuclear Disarmament Nuclear Nonproliferation Nuclear Weapons United States |
| Subject Domain (in LCSH) | Nuclear disarmament--United States--History |
| Subject Domain (in LCSH) | Nuclear disarmament--International cooperation |
| Subject Domain (in LCSH) | Nuclear weapons--United States--History |
| Subject Domain (in LCSH) | Nuclear weapons--United States--Forecasting |
| Subject Domain (in LCSH) | Nuclear nonproliferation--Government policy--United States |
| Subject Domain (in LCSH) | Nuclear nonproliferation--International cooperation |
| Subject Domain (in LCC) | JZ5665 .P45 2011 |
| Alternative Title | US nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament United States nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Book |
