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Measuring business cycles by saving for a rainy day
| Content Provider | Library of Congress - Books/Printed Material |
|---|---|
| Author | Shintani, Mototsugu Crucini, Mario J. (Mario John) |
| Temporal Coverage | 2010 |
| Copyright Year | 2010 |
| Abstract | "We propose a simple saving-based measure of the cyclical component in GDP. The measure is motivated by the prediction that the represenative consumer changes savings in response to temporary deviations of income from its stochastic trend, while satisfying a present-value budget constraint. To evaluate our procedure, we employ the bivariate error correction model of Cochrane (1994) to the member countries of the G-7 and Australia. Our estimates reveal, that to a close approximation, the stochastic trend component of GDP is consumption and the transitory component is the error correction term, which justifies the use of our saving-based measure"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site. |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | National Bureau of Economic Research |
| Publisher Place | Cambridge, MA |
| Part of Series | Catalog |
| Requires | HTML5 supported browser |
| Access Restriction | Open |
| Subject Domain (in LCC) | HB1 |
| Content Type | Text |
| Resource Type | Book |
